AE Larisa vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ERG
0 - 3
LAR
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 2
PAN
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
PAN
0 - 2
LAR
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
LAM
1 - 0
LAR
34%
28%
39%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 0
ACH
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
APS
1 - 0
LAM
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ACH
0 - 1
APS
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
APS
1 - 0
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ZAK
0 - 0
APS
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
APS
1 - 1
PAN
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |