AEL Larisa vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
LAR
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 1
ERG
32%
26%
41%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NIK
0 - 0
LAR
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
THR
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
PAN
1 - 1
LAR
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
APS
2 - 0
FOK
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
OFI
1 - 0
APS
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VYZ
0 - 1
APS
23%
28%
49%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
APS
1 - 0
AOK
29%
30%
41%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
KAL
0 - 2
APS
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |