AEL Larisa vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
POS
0 - 2
LAR
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
LAR
0 - 0
LEV
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
KAL
0 - 2
LAR
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
HAL
1 - 0
LAR
75%
16%
8%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
LAR
2 - 0
ETH
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
APS
0 - 0
AKR
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
PAN
4 - 0
APS
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
APS
1 - 1
ILI
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
APS
2 - 0
POS
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
LEV
1 - 0
APS
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |