AEL Larisa vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
PAN
6 - 1
LAR
79%
14%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
LAR
2 - 1
PAO
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
OLP
3 - 1
LAR
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
LAR
1 - 0
ION
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
LAR
1 - 0
AEK
17%
25%
57%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
APS
1 - 1
EDE
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
OFI
2 - 1
APS
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
APS
2 - 1
KAL
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
APS
2 - 3
PAN
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
PAO
2 - 1
APS
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |