AEL Larisa vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
PAN
2 - 1
LAR
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
LAR
2 - 0
XAN
53%
27%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
DOX
3 - 1
LAR
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
PAN
1 - 0
LAR
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
LAR
1 - 0
OFI
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
APS
2 - 1
PIE
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
APS
0 - 0
ATH
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
ETH
2 - 1
APS
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
ARI
1 - 0
APS
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
APS
0 - 2
AEK
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |