AEL Larisa vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
PAO
2 - 1
LAR
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
OLY
1 - 2
LAR
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
LAR
0 - 1
ION
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
LAR
1 - 0
PAN
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
OFI
4 - 1
LAR
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
APS
0 - 1
PAN
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
APS
0 - 0
LEV
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
APS
0 - 0
AEK
33%
31%
36%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
PAN
2 - 1
APS
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
APS
3 - 0
XAN
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |