AEL Larisa vs Apollon Kalamaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.8%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
18%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
9º
2º
11
11º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATR
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 0
NIK
68%
22%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
LAR
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
PTF
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 2
LAR
20%
28%
52%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Apollon Kalamaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
ANA
26%
28%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MKN
3 - 1
APO
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
MYT
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
IRA
0 - 1
APO
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
APO
2 - 2
AEK
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |