AEL Larisa vs Apollon Kalamaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
APS
0 - 0
LAR
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
LAR
1 - 0
AEK
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
PAN
3 - 2
LAR
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
LAR
3 - 1
XAN
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
LAR
1 - 1
OLP
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Kalamaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
APO
2 - 0
ETH
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
PAO
2 - 1
APO
73%
17%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
APO
4 - 0
LEV
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
APO
0 - 0
APS
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
APO
2 - 2
OLY
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |