AEL Larisa vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
72.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 1
LAR
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 1
KER
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
XAN
9%
20%
71%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PAN
1 - 1
LAR
29%
28%
43%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
KAL
0 - 1
LAR
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PAN
1 - 1
AEK
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
AEK
3 - 0
KAL
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
AEK
6 - 0
PAN
91%
7%
2%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AEK
2 - 0
PGE
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PFC
1 - 2
AEK
44%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |