AEL Larisa vs AEK Athens B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
9º
2º
32
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
KAM
0 - 2
LAR
10%
22%
69%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
APO
78%
16%
5%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATR
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 0
NIK
68%
22%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
LAR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 0
ANA
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 0
MAK
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MKN
1 - 1
AEK
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 1
MYT
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 0
KAM
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |