Lanusei vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanusei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIE
3 - 0
LAN
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 2
MON
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
LAN
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 2
ULD
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
LAN
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
26%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAQ
1 - 0
RIE
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OST
0 - 0
LAQ
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAQ
11 - 0
FOL
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
LAQ
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |