Lanusei vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanusei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAN
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 1
VIS
29%
25%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TNF
2 - 0
LAN
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 0
MUR
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 0
LAN
69%
20%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
APR
35%
24%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
APR
1 - 0
ULD
53%
24%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 1
APR
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
APR
1 - 0
RMS
66%
19%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
APR
0 - 3
GLA
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |