Lanusei vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanusei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 1
LAN
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LAN
0 - 1
VIS
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ARZ
0 - 0
LAN
53%
25%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 0
TNF
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
LAN
0 - 2
SAS
53%
25%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
APR
1 - 0
BUD
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
SAS
3 - 0
APR
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ULD
3 - 1
APR
56%
25%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LAD
1 - 2
APR
26%
22%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
APR
2 - 2
TUR
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |