Lannion vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
8º
12º
8º
5
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
28.5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
DIN
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 1
LAN
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
STA
24%
22%
55%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 0
PON
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
LAN
24%
23%
54%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SBR
2 - 4
PLA
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PLA
4 - 2
USF
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
PLA
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
LAT
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOC
5 - 0
PLA
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |