Lannion vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
14º
10º
16
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 43 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
48% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 1
LAN
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 1
FLE
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
STA
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
LAN
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
GUI
16%
22%
62%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
STA
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
LOR
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
GUI
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CES
0 - 2
LOR
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 3
AFV
52%
23%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |