Lannion vs AF Virois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
14º
10º
30
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 43 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
48% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PON
2 - 1
LAN
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 3
VAN
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
USF
1 - 1
LAN
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
PLA
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
DIN
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
STA
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SPM
3 - 1
AFV
33%
25%
43%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
0 - 4
GUI
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
AFV
15%
17%
68%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |