Langenthal vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
10º
7º
13
8º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 53 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 42 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Langenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 1
LAN
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 0
STA
6%
12%
82%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
SOL
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
LAN
30%
22%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
WOH
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
MUT
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BBB
4 - 1
MUT
46%
22%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
MUT
47%
23%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
MUT
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
4 - 2
MUT
30%
24%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |