Lancy FC vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
3º
1º
12
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
16 | 65 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 59 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 52 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 51 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 50 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 44 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 40 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 39 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 28 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 20 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
66.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEY
1 - 5
LAN
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
LAN
12%
15%
73%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 2
VEY
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
LAN
8%
16%
76%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NAT
3 - 0
SIO
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 2
NAT
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAT
4 - 2
ECH
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
NAT
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAT
6 - 1
TER
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |