Lancy FC vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ECH
1 - 3
LAN
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BUL
3 - 2
LAN
44%
24%
33%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 2
FCM
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 2
LAN
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
FCM
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DUD
1 - 2
NAT
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
NAT
4 - 1
FCM
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 6
NAT
75%
14%
10%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NAT
0 - 2
MEY
22%
22%
55%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UGS
2 - 2
NAT
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |