Lancy FC vs Italien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
14.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
6º
1º
20
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LAN
7 - 0
FOO
92%
6%
2%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 3
PLO
79%
13%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
YVE
1 - 2
LAN
32%
21%
47%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 1
LAN
44%
21%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 3
ODG
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 3
YVE
47%
21%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ODG
2 - 4
ITA
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 1
VEY
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
ITA
34%
21%
45%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 3
FCA
35%
21%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |