Lancaster City vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
MIC
0 - 1
LAN
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 3
STO
38%
27%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 2
MAT
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 0
MIL
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
4 - 2
COA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
WOR
2 - 1
NAN
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 0
HAR
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
WOR
3 - 0
MIC
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
WOR
2 - 1
STO
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
WOR
5 - 1
GLO
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |