Lancaster City vs Warrington Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MAT
4 - 0
LAN
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BAR
5 - 0
LAN
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WIT
2 - 0
LAN
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
BUX
28%
23%
50%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 0
STO
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 2
FAR
32%
24%
43%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 2
TRA
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 3
GRA
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
STO
2 - 1
WAR
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 0
WAR
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |