Lancaster City vs Stockport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 2
MAT
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 0
MIL
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
4 - 2
COA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 0
STR
55%
22%
22%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
LAN
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
STO
3 - 2
SPE
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 2
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 3
STO
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
STO
2 - 2
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
STO
1 - 1
CHO
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |