Lancaster City vs Scarborough Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
HED
0 - 1
LAN
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 2
LAN
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
FAR
2 - 0
LAN
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BUX
1 - 2
LAN
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Scarborough Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SCA
4 - 0
BUX
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 0
BAM
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
STA
2 - 3
SCA
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
RFC
1 - 3
SCA
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 0
WIT
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |