Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
ATH
2 - 1
LAN
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 3
BAM
65%
22%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
RFC
0 - 3
LAN
27%
25%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LAN
0 - 0
STA
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BUX
1 - 1
LAN
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Morpeth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 0
MOR
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
4 - 0
WAR
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 2
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
NAN
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BAM
3 - 0
MOR
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -3 |