Lancaster City vs Mildenhall Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
4 - 2
COA
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 0
STR
55%
22%
22%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
LAN
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 0
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MOS
0 - 1
LAN
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mildenhall Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 2
MIL
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 1
WAL
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
MIL
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
SOH
2 - 2
MIL
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 1
BOW
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |