Lancaster City vs Matlock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
LAN
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 2
WOR
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
SOU
13%
20%
66%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 3
BLY
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 2
LAN
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 2
GAI
57%
22%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BUX
2 - 2
MAT
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 2
RFC
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
WHI
1 - 3
MAT
26%
22%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
WOR
59%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |