Lancaster City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 0
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UNM
1 - 1
LAN
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 1
WAR
25%
27%
49%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 1
RYL
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 3
LAN
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
GAI
1 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GAI
1 - 2
BAM
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
GAI
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GAI
2 - 2
ATH
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 2
GAI
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |