Lamia vs Paone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lamia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
LAM
3 - 0
AOK
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
LAM
1 - 2
PIE
31%
29%
40%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 2
LAM
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
DOX
1 - 0
LAM
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
LAM
1 - 0
AGN
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
DOX
0 - 0
PAO
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
POL
1 - 3
PAO
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
PAO
1 - 0
AGN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ANA
2 - 1
PAO
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
PAO
1 - 3
OLY
27%
27%
47%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |