Lamia vs Athens Kallithea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
13º
13º
3
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 53 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 51 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 50 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 43 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 37 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 34 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 34 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 28 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 26 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96.5% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lamia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 3
OLP
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 1
LAM
78%
16%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
PGE
0 - 1
LAM
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
LAM
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 0
VNF
44%
24%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athens Kallithea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
PAN
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
OLP
2 - 1
KAL
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
KAL
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
KAL
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OFI
0 - 0
KAL
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |