Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-3
Lalín vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lalín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
LAL
1 - 1
GRA
73%
20%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
ALO
0 - 1
LAL
11%
25%
64%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
LAL
1 - 1
BUR
76%
17%
6%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ARO
2 - 3
LAL
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
BOI
1 - 1
LAL
16%
27%
57%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
VIL
0 - 0
ARO
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
ARO
0 - 0
ORD
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
DEP
1 - 0
ARO
42%
27%
30%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ARO
2 - 3
LAL
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ARO
0 - 0
RCF
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |