Lake Macquarie vs Weston Bears analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
77.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
12º
12º
34
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LAK
0 - 4
CHA
7%
15%
78%
|
5 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
EDG
4 - 0
LAK
87%
10%
3%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LAK
2 - 7
CHU
11%
15%
74%
|
5 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LAK
2 - 4
MAI
5%
10%
85%
|
5 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
LAK
1 - 4
HAM
8%
15%
77%
|
6 | 31 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Weston Bears
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
WBE
0 - 2
CHA
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
WBE
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
WBE
6 - 0
ADR
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
WBE
3 - 0
NLE
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
WBE
1 - 0
VAL
64%
18%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |