Lake Macquarie vs Valentine Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
80.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
12º
12º
30
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
LAK
1 - 3
ADR
11%
15%
74%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CHU
4 - 1
LAK
85%
10%
5%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BRO
3 - 1
LAK
92%
6%
2%
|
5 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LAM
4 - 0
LAK
90%
8%
3%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WBE
6 - 1
LAK
91%
7%
2%
|
6 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Valentine Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
NLE
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 2
HAM
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 4
MAI
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
VAL
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 4
BRO
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |