Lajeadense vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 2
NOV
38%
28%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
LAJ
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 2
LAJ
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
LAJ
2 - 1
VOL
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
LAJ
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
VOL
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FOZ
0 - 3
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 1
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 0
FOZ
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |