Lajeadense vs Porto Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
LAJ
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 0
LAJ
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LAJ
2 - 1
VER
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
LAJ
4 - 3
ISM
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
LAJ
95%
4%
1%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Porto Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
POR
4 - 3
SLU
33%
25%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
CAN
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
YPI
2 - 1
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
POR
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
NOV
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |