Lajeadense vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAJ
53%
25%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 1
BRA
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
URS
1 - 1
LAJ
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LAJ
3 - 0
PAS
48%
26%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
LAJ
0 - 1
ECA
62%
22%
15%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VER
2 - 0
NOV
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAS
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ECA
0 - 0
NOV
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRA
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
URS
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |