Lajeadense vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
LAJ
2 - 1
CAC
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
LAJ
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PEL
1 - 1
LAJ
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
LAJ
1 - 0
CRU
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
LAJ
86%
11%
3%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAX
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAS
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 2
NOV
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
CAC
0 - 1
NOV
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
PEL
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |