Lajeadense vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
LAJ
2 - 0
PEL
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SLU
1 - 1
LAJ
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
LAJ
81%
16%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LAJ
0 - 0
PAS
51%
26%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
PEL
2 - 0
LAJ
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAX
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 1
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
CAX
4 - 2
AIM
73%
19%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VER
2 - 2
CAX
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
CAX
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |