CD Lagun Onak vs Cerro de Reyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LON
0 - 0
ATX
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
LON
2 - 1
IZA
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
LON
1 - 1
NUC
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
NUC
0 - 0
LON
52%
26%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LON
4 - 3
GIM
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CER
0 - 1
SPB
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
SDT
2 - 4
CER
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
CER
1 - 0
BAR
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 1
CER
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CER
2 - 1
TRO
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |