CD Lagun Onak vs CD Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
14º
12º
4
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 65 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 63 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 59 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 59 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 57 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 56 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
|
3º
|
4 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 38 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 36 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 18 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
CDP
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 1
LON
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LON
4 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 0
LON
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LON
2 - 2
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 3
ARE
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AÑO
2 - 3
CDD
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 1
DAC
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
DEU
1 - 0
CDD
59%
23%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CDD
3 - 1
LEI
32%
25%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |