CD Lagun Onak vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
13º
10º
19
2º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 74 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 56 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 40 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 19 |
18º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LON
1 - 0
CDP
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LON
1 - 2
DAC
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CDD
2 - 0
LON
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SNT
2 - 3
LON
24%
25%
50%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
BEA
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CDD
2 - 2
CDU
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CDU
2 - 2
SNT
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BEA
1 - 1
CDU
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PAS
3 - 2
CDU
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CDU
3 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |