CD Lagun Onak vs Deportivo Alavés C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
13º
10º
24
8º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 67 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 45 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
40.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 16 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CDD
2 - 0
LON
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SNT
2 - 3
LON
24%
25%
50%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
BEA
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PAS
3 - 3
LON
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DAC
1 - 0
CDP
47%
23%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDD
2 - 0
DAC
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DAC
3 - 1
SNT
58%
21%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 0
DAC
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
DAC
4 - 1
PAS
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +3 |