Lagos vs Quarteirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
COV
1 - 0
LAG
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 1
LAG
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 2
FER
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 3
LAG
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 3
RIO
7%
16%
77%
|
33 | 75 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Quarteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 2
PIN
35%
27%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
COV
0 - 0
QUA
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 3
MOU
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FER
3 - 0
QUA
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 0
LOU
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |