Lagos vs Ferreiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 3
LAG
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 3
RIO
7%
16%
77%
|
33 | 75 | 42 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
LAG
19%
23%
58%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LAG
3 - 0
FCB
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FER
3 - 0
QUA
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
COV
2 - 2
FER
74%
16%
9%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FER
3 - 2
MOU
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
PIN
27%
26%
48%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 1
FER
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |