Lagos vs Almodôvar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 0
LAG
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 2
PIN
26%
26%
48%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 3
QUA
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
COV
1 - 0
LAG
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 1
LAG
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Almodôvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
3 - 1
QUA
19%
23%
59%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
COV
2 - 1
ALM
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 0
MOU
13%
20%
67%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FER
4 - 1
ALM
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LOU
4 - 0
ALM
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |