Lagarto vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
75.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 0
LAG
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
LAG
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 0
AMP
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 6 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 1
VOL
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BOA
2 - 1
VOL
22%
23%
54%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
VOL
2 - 0
POR
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
BAN
0 - 1
VOL
20%
23%
56%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 2
VOL
88%
9%
3%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |