Lagarto vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 0
LAG
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
LAG
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 0
AMP
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 6 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DOR
3 - 2
LAG
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
DOR
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
0 - 3
SER
11%
17%
73%
|
35 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |