Lagarto vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
LAG
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
AMA
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 2
CDC
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 2
LAG
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
LAG
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SER
3 - 0
OSE
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
CDC
80%
14%
7%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 4
SER
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
SOC
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |