Lagarto vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
LAG
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LAG
4 - 0
ASA
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 3
CSE
36%
29%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
LAG
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
LAG
0 - 0
SAN
18%
27%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
SDJ
0 - 2
ALA
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
SDJ
1 - 2
PAL
4%
20%
76%
|
51 | 90 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 2
SDJ
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
SDJ
1 - 0
SAN
39%
30%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
SDJ
91%
7%
2%
|
50 | 90 | 40 | -1 |