Lagarto vs Olímpico SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
FLU
21%
24%
56%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 1
OSE
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 2
LAG
53%
24%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LAG
0 - 2
ITA
23%
27%
51%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -3 |
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
OSE
3 - 3
BOC
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 1
OSE
54%
24%
22%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
OSE
70%
21%
10%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
OSE
1 - 1
CON
11%
19%
70%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
OSE
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |